University of Alcala


Juan Luis Santos is Master in Applied Economic Analysis (University Complutense of Madrid and Univeristy of Alcala) and Master in Systems Engineering (URJC). Currently he is in the last stages of his PhD research 'Big data in multiagent systems: market design solutions' under the supervision of professors Tomás Mancha Navarro and Vicente Esteve at University of Alcala. He participated in MOSIPS project from 2011 to 2015 developing a complex agent-based model. He is a member of the project ‘Analysis of systemic risk in EU countries: Implications for Poland’ under the supervision of Andrzej Wojtyna since March 2014.

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An agent-based model of population dynamics for the European regions
Volume: 17, Issue 2
The aims of this paper are to present and to discuss an agent-based model of population dynamics for the European regions at NUTS 3 level. It includes individuals that perform several activities with bounded rationality. The paper briefly discusses the latest novelties on this topic and then describes the processes to prepare a data base with the necessary information to feed and calibrate the model. Then it is presented the initialization module. It generates individual heterogeneity according to average and marginal aggregate distributions of the included variables that characterize the agents. In order to simulate the mechanisms of migration our model creates an artificial labor demand at regional level using simple but effective rules based on mainstream economic theory. The rest of the model is also presented: education, pairing, aging and deceases. A set of scenarios is defined and the regional aggregates are computed. Hence, the results are prepared to be visualized with tables, graphics and maps.